Tax Cut Not Exactly Massive
July 26, 1999

Opponents of tax relief have attacked tax relief proposal passing the House of Representatives as being too big, risky and irresponsible. The tax cut is phased in over a full decade and arguments revolve around guess-timates as to the size of the tax cut-pegged at about $792 billion. If one accepts such dubious estimates, then it is worth evaluating exactly how big such a tax cut actually would be.

During the 1990s, federal revenues grew at a better than 6% annual average rate. If one projects that average rate of growth over the coming decade, then the federal government will extract more than $25.5 trillion from taxpayers over the period 2000 to 2009. Therefore, $792 billion amounts to a mere 3.1% tax cut. By the way, President Clinton's call for $250 billion turns out to be a barely detectable 0.99% tax cut.

One thing can be seen clearly through these rather foggy projections: Current tax relief proposals aren't too big, they are far too small.

 
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